Bitcoin nears record high ahead of US election

Bitcoin rose past US$70 000 for the first time since June, bolstered by inflows into dedicated exchange-traded funds as well as speculation about potential outcomes from next week’s US election.

The largest digital asset was last changing hands at about $ 70,850 as of 7:26 am SAST. Smaller tokens, including second-ranked ether, also posted modest gains.

Bitcoin is viewed by some as a so-called Trump trade because Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump embraced digital assets during campaigning. Trump is ahead in prediction markets, while polls show a neck-and-neck race against Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris.

The token drew succor from an overnight rally in stocks and is continuing to “price in a Donald Trump election victory,” Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia, wrote in a note. Bitcoin needs a sustained break past $70 000 to boost confidence that it can rally past March’s record of $73 798, he added.

Trump has vowed to make the US the crypto capital of the planet. Harris has adopted a more measured approach, pledging to support a regulatory framework for the industry. Their positions contrast with a crackdown on the sector under President Joe Biden.

Options traders have increased bets that Bitcoin will reach a peak of $ 80,000 by the end of November regardless of who wins the election. Implied volatility around election day on 5 November is elevated. Spot-bitcoin ETFs in the US have attracted about $ 3.1 billion in net inflows so far this month.

Bitcoin has jumped 66% in 2024 and lately weathered scaled-back wagers on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as well as a report of greater US scrutiny of tether, a linchpin stablecoin for crypto trading.  — Sunil Jagtiani, (c) 2024 Bloomberg LP

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